| 2026-07-13 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-07-13 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | 0.02 | -48.4¢ | AHEAD | pending |
| 2026-07-12 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-07-12 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?" | NO | 0.45 | 0.04 | -40.5¢ | AHEAD | pending |
| 2026-07-11 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.09 | 0.02 | -7.3¢ | AHEAD | pending |
| 2026-07-11 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | YES | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-07-11 | manifold | "Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?" | YES | 0.88 | 0.90 | +1.8¢ | AHEAD | pending |
| 2026-07-10 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.09 | 0.02 | -7.5¢ | AHEAD | pending |
| 2026-07-10 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-07-09 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-07-08 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-07-06 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.25 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-07-06 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.09 | 0.02 | -7.3¢ | AHEAD | pending |
| 2026-07-05 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | YES | 0.43 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-07-05 | manifold | "Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]" | NO | 0.31 | 0.31 | +0.5¢ | AGAINST | pending |
| 2026-07-04 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-07-03 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | 0.02 | -89.4¢ | AHEAD | pending |
| 2026-07-02 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-07-02 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?" | NO | 0.45 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-07-01 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.09 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-30 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.09 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-29 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?" | NO | 0.62 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-28 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | 0.27 | -23.5¢ | AHEAD | pending |
| 2026-06-28 | manifold | "Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]" | NO | 0.40 | 0.31 | -8.5¢ | AHEAD | pending |
| 2026-06-27 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?" | NO | 0.09 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-24 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?" | NO | 0.09 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-23 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-22 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-21 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-21 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-20 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?" | YES | 0.09 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-19 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-19 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-18 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?" | NO | 0.34 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-17 | manifold | "Binding agreement of acquisition or merger between Apple and AI company before Q3 2026" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | push |
| 2026-06-16 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-15 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-15 | polymarket | "Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?" | NO | 0.94 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-06-14 | manifold | "Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2027?" | YES | 0.95 | 0.91 | -3.8¢ | AGAINST | win |