| 2026-10-19 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.58 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-19 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?" | YES | 0.42 | — | — | FLAT | loss |
| 2026-10-18 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | — | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-17 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.09 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-16 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | YES | 0.45 | — | — | FLAT | loss |
| 2026-10-16 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?" | NO | 0.38 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-15 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-14 | manifold | "By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a La" | NO | 0.07 | 0.08 | +1.0¢ | AGAINST | pending |
| 2026-10-13 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.55 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-12 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | 0.03 | -88.5¢ | AHEAD | pending |
| 2026-10-12 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?" | NO | 0.25 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-11 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?" | NO | 0.09 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-10 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?" | NO | 0.07 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-09 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?" | NO | 0.22 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-09 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | YES | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | loss |
| 2026-10-08 | manifold | "Will OpenAI retract any of its AI-Driven Mathematical Results before 2027?" | YES | 0.99 | 0.99 | +0.0¢ | AGAINST | win |
| 2026-10-08 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-07 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.54 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-07 | manifold | "October 2026 AI model releases" | YES | 0.45 | — | — | FLAT | pending |
| 2026-10-07 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?" | NO | 0.42 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-06 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?" | NO | 0.15 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-05 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-05 | manifold | "Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?" | YES | 0.48 | 0.14 | -33.5¢ | AGAINST | pending |
| 2026-10-04 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-04 | manifold | "In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?" | NO | 0.53 | 0.47 | -6.0¢ | AHEAD | pending |
| 2026-10-03 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.09 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-03 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?" | NO | 0.09 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-02 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-02 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-10-01 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-09-30 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-09-30 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | 0.26 | -65.5¢ | AHEAD | pending |
| 2026-09-29 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-09-29 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-09-28 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.55 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-09-27 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-09-27 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-09-25 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.09 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-09-24 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-09-23 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-09-22 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.91 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-09-21 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-09-21 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?" | NO | 0.35 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-09-20 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | win |
| 2026-09-20 | polymarket | "Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?" | NO | 0.50 | — | — | FLAT | win |